Middle East Conflict: What Rising Fuel Costs Mean for Global Air Travel

Airspace disruptions and rising fuel costs are impacting global travel. Learn how airlines are responding and how your travel program can adapt.

This information is current as of April 2026. The Direct Travel team will continue to update this blog if needed as the situation develops.

Global air travel is feeling the impact of the Middle East conflict, with fuel costs rising sharply and key air routes disrupted. Many flights are being rerouted around restricted airspace, adding both cost and time to flight schedules. Oil prices have increased by 84% since the start of the conflict, forcing airlines to adjust operations and driving higher jet fuel costs. The supply of fuel has also been steeply affected, with a six week supply of jet fuel left in Europe and just over a month reported in Australia.

For travel managers, this environment reinforces the importance of flexibility and strong duty of care practices. Ensuring traveler safety while maintaining continuity has become more complex, especially as conditions continue to evolve.

Below, we take a closer look at how major airlines are adapting to current conditions and what it means for your travel program.

How Airlines Are Responding

Airlines are taking a range of measured actions in response to rising fuel costs and ongoing airspace constraints. Across the industry, this includes adjusting capacity, reallocating aircraft to alternative markets, and implementing pricing changes. In fact, airfare has increased 12% in the first quarter of 2026 from the same time last year. As conditions evolve, airlines are continuing to closely monitor these trends.

Below is a snapshot of how major carriers are navigating the current environment.

Emirates

Current Capacity & Operations

Emirates experienced significant disruption early in the crisis, temporarily halting scheduled passenger operations between February 28th and March 4th, while maintaining limited repatriation and cargo services. The airline has since recovered to approximately 70% of its operating capacity.

Network / Route Adjustments

Operations are steadily stabilizing, with a focus on restoring long-haul service levels as conditions allow.

Pricing & Cost Actions

No specific pricing or surcharge actions have been publicly outlined. Emirates’ strong financial position is expected to support operational continuity through ongoing volatility.

Demand & Outlook

Emirates maintains a positive long-term outlook, citing strong bookings from late 2025 and early 2026 prior to the disruption. The airline continues to invest in fleet and expects long-haul demand to remain resilient.

Qatar Airways

Current Capacity & Operations

Qatar Airways is currently operating at approximately 40% capacity and does not expect a return to full operations until at least October.

Network / Route Adjustments

The airline has adapted to extended airspace disruptions, noting that while this is the longest such event, it is not unprecedented.

Pricing & Cost Actions

No specific pricing measures have been detailed, though operational adjustments reflect broader cost and capacity constraints.

Demand & Outlook

Qatar Airways is focused on reinforcing traveler confidence and maintaining a safe, reliable experience. Leadership emphasizes preparedness for ongoing volatility rather than viewing the situation as a one-time disruption.

Air France–KLM

Current Capacity & Operations

The group continues to operate globally but is managing the dual impact of higher fuel costs and longer flight routings due to airspace restrictions.

Network / Route Adjustments

Capacity is being reallocated, with aircraft previously serving the Middle East redeployed to North America, Africa, and Asia.

Pricing & Cost Actions

Air France–KLM has implemented internal cost controls to offset rising fuel expenses, including a hiring freeze and restrictions on employee travel.

Demand & Outlook

The group anticipates a longer-term impact from current conditions and is adjusting its network strategy accordingly to maintain efficiency.

Qantas Airways

Current Capacity & Operations

Qantas continues to operate its international and domestic network while navigating ongoing fuel cost volatility linked to the Middle East conflict.

Network / Route Adjustments

Capacity has been increased on select Europe routes, with further increases planned into the summer. At the same time, Qantas and Jetstar have reduced domestic capacity by ~5% through the end of June to align with current conditions. Impacted travelers are offered alternative flights or refunds with greater flexibility to standard schedule change policies.

Pricing & Cost Actions

In response to rising fuel costs, Qantas has implemented fare adjustments and will evaluate network and pricing strategies as conditions evolve. Fuel supply availability remains stable in the near term, supported by government and supplier assurances.

Demand & Outlook

Demand for international travel remains strong, particularly for Europe. Qantas is monitoring market conditions closely while providing increased flexibility for customers, including options to change or refund bookings on partner airlines, and ongoing support for evolving travel plans.

American Airlines

Current Capacity & Operations

American states they are taking a cautious approach to operations in the Middle East. While broader network performance remains strong, the airline is proceeding carefully with any return to impacted regions.

Network / Route Adjustments

Service suspensions remain in place for key routes, including New York (JFK) – Tel Aviv (TLV) and Philadelphia (PHL) – Doha (DOH). Both routes are currently suspended through July 1, 2026, with plans to resume once conditions are deemed safe. Affected travelers are being re-accommodated under standard schedule change policies.

Pricing & Cost Actions

American has implemented targeted pricing adjustments, including increases to baggage fees. More broadly, average ticket prices have risen, reflecting industry-wide pressure from fuel costs and operational complexity.

Demand & Outlook

Demand remains relatively stable. Summer performance is trending positively, supported by new routes and expanded markets, with revenue metrics showing year-over-year improvement. However, some softening is expected in premium cabin demand as companies adjust travel spend.

In the UK market specifically, American reports no significant decline in demand, with higher average ticket prices driven by both cost pressures and sustained traveler demand.

United Airlines

Current Capacity & Operations

United Airlines has implemented a modest capacity reduction of approximately 5% in the near term, with plans to fully restore capacity in the fall. These adjustments are intended to align operations with current fuel cost pressures and evolving market conditions.

Network / Route Adjustments

Beyond previously impacted routes such as Tel Aviv (TLV) and Dubai (DXB), United has not announced additional major network changes. The airline continues to evaluate conditions but is maintaining stability across the broader network.

Pricing & Cost Actions

United is participating in industry-wide fare increases to help offset rising fuel costs, which could total more than $11 billion across the industry if current conditions persist through the end of the year. Despite these increases, pricing adjustments remain relatively measured compared to the scale of cost pressure.

Demand & Outlook

Demand remains strong overall, though United noted a slight softening in early April. The airline has not adjusted its long-term strategy and continues to view current conditions as a short-term disruption rather than a structural shift.

Delta Air Lines

Current Capacity & Operations

Delta is moderating capacity growth, with a more conservative approach in the near term as fuel price volatility continues.

Network / Route Adjustments

Adjustments are being made across Delta’s global network and joint ventures, with localized actions taken by partners to manage cost pressures.

Pricing & Cost Actions

While Delta does not publicly comment on specific pricing strategies, it acknowledges that fares may fluctuate based on fuel costs, demand, and broader market dynamics. The airline is actively taking steps to protect margins and manage rising operating costs.

Demand & Outlook

Delta states that demand remains high, and they expect to maintain financial performance despite current pressures. The airline highlights its strong financial position and operational flexibility as key advantages.

Air Canada

Current Capacity & Operations

Air Canada continues to operate its network while managing significant pressure from rising jet fuel costs, making certain routes less economically viable and prompting operational adjustments.

Network / Route Adjustments

The airline has implemented targeted schedule changes, including the suspension of select routes such as Toronto and Montreal to New York (JFK) and flights to & from Dubai (DXB) and Tel Aviv (TLV). Overall capacity reductions remain relatively modest.

Pricing & Cost Actions

Rising fuel costs are driving broader pricing pressure across the network, with adjustments reflecting increased operating expenses. In response, Air Canada has introduced a flexible rebooking policy with various options available for affected travelers.

Demand & Outlook

Demand for travel remains steady overall, but the airline is taking a measured approach to future network planning as fuel volatility persists.

WestJet

Current Capacity & Operations

WestJet continues to operate its network while closely monitoring fuel supply constraints linked to the Strait of Hormuz. No immediate large-scale schedule changes have been confirmed, though adjustments remain under evaluation.

Network / Route Adjustments

The airline is consolidating flights on lower-demand routes and adjusting seasonal schedules. Capacity reductions are being implemented progressively, with approximately 1% in April, 3% in May, and 5.5% in June 2026. Impacted travelers are provided with re-accommodation options, most within the same day as their original departure.

Pricing & Cost Actions

WestJet has introduced targeted fuel surcharges, including a $60 surcharge on companion voucher bookings (effective April 8), and a $50 per person surcharge on select vacation packages (effective April 14). These measures are designed to offset rising fuel costs, which account for a significant portion of airline operating expenses.

Demand & Outlook

WestJet continues to monitor market conditions and fuel availability closely. While demand remains a consideration, the airline is focused on balancing supply, cost management, and operational stability.

What This Means for Your Travel Program

As airlines adjust capacity and availability, travel managers should expect continued variability across routes, overall traveler experience, and price. Lingering impacts will likely remain even once the conflict is resolved, and airlines are not expected to reduce fares as a result. Although disruption remains a factor, the majority of global air capacity is still operating, allowing essential travel to continue with the right planning and support in place.

In this environment, a proactive approach is key. Reviewing travel policies, communicating clearly with travelers, and building flexibility into booking strategies can help minimize disruption. Monitoring shifts in pricing and availability, particularly for long-haul and premium cabin travel, will also be important as conditions continue to evolve.

Equally critical is ensuring travelers have access to timely, reliable support. When plans change, the ability to quickly rebook, reroute, or respond to disruptions helps maintain both traveler confidence and program performance.

At Direct Travel, we’ll continue to monitor developments closely and support our clients with the insights, technology, and service needed to navigate changing conditions. With a trusted travel management partner, your program remains adaptable, your travelers stay supported, and your organization can move forward with confidence.

For Direct Travel clients in need of support with upcoming travel, reach out to your Account Manager or contact our team here.

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